Research

Research

Longer-form notes on the trajectory of artificial intelligence and the infrastructure underneath it. where the field has been, and where the evidence suggests it's headed.

Where Is AI Going?

The evolution of artificial intelligence. from hand-coded rules to autonomous systems

1970s–1980s

Expert Systems

Hand-coded rules and decision trees. Limited to narrow domains.

1990s–2010s

Machine Learning

Statistical models learned patterns from data. SVMs, random forests, gradient boosting.

2012–2017

Deep Learning

Neural networks with many layers. CNNs for vision, RNNs for sequences. GPU-accelerated training.

2017–2022

Transformers

Self-attention mechanism eliminated sequential processing. BERT, GPT-2, T5.

2022–2024

Foundation Models

GPT-4, Claude, Gemini. Multimodal, instruction-following, tool-using.

2024–2026

AI Agents

Autonomous systems that plan, use tools, and execute multi-step workflows.

2026–2028

Multi-Agent

Coordinated agent teams with specialized roles, shared memory, and negotiation.

2028+

Autonomous AI

Self-improving systems with long-term goals, continuous learning, and minimal human oversight.

Open Research Threads

Scaling Laws & Test-Time Compute

How model performance scales with parameters, data, and compute. and why spending more compute at inference time (not just training) is now a core lever.

Retrieval & Memory Architectures

Long-term memory for agents beyond a single context window: retrieval, summarization, and structured memory stores.

Interpretability

Techniques for understanding what is happening inside a model. feature visualization, probing, and mechanistic interpretability.

Alignment & Safety

RLHF, constitutional AI, and red-teaming methods used to make model behavior match intended values under adversarial pressure.

Note: this page reflects ongoing analysis and community discussion, not a settled scientific consensus. treat forward-looking eras as informed projection, not fact.